Following a week off, the 2019 NASCAR season proceeds Sunday at Sonoma Raceway for the 2019 Toyota/Save Mart 350. NASCAR in Sonoma is a departure from the standard for NASCAR, as the California track is a 12-turn, 2.52-mile road course rather than an oval. For years, NASCAR would be overrun by road-course experts when they would take on those challenges but top drivers use these occasions to attempt and show off their versatility. Kevin Harvick won this race in 2017 and finished second in 2018 to give him four consecutive finishes of sixth or better at Sonoma. He’s the favorite from the most current 2019 Toyota/Save Mart 350 odds. Defending champion Martin Truex Jr. is just supporting him at 9-2, while seven drivers complete are listed at 10-1 or better. But before you create your 2019 Toyota/Save Mart picks, make certain to check out the NASCAR in Sonoma predictions and projected leaderboard in the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Produced by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive information scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors such as track history and recent results into consideration.
The model is off to a strong start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin that a top-four contender from the beginning. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano at its projected top . Last month, it called Kyle Busch win in Bristol. Additionally, it had Coca-Cola 600 winner Martin Truex Jr. in its upper two and then pinpointed Kyle Busch’s win at Pocono.
Additionally, it made some enormous calls this past year, including correctly casting wins for Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. Additionally, it nailed three of the top four finishers at Michigan and two of the top four in the Daytona 500. Is way up.
McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Events in venues like Sonoma Raceway have been in his blood. His model simulated the 2019 Toyota/Save Mart 350 10,000 times and the results were surprising.
For NASCAR at Sonoma 2019, we can inform you that the version is top on Ryan Blaney, making a strong run at the checkered flag despite going off as a long shot at 25-1. The 25-year-old was operating well recent seasons. He has finished within the top 10 at the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup standings the previous two seasons and sits in ninth place at this time with four top-five finishes on the year.
Blaney finished ninth at Sonoma two seasons ago and also has a top-10 finish at Watkins Glen, another street route on the NASCAR circuit. But he really proved himself as a street course racer when he won the road course race at Charlotte last season, which was the final street course race NASCAR ran. If he can put together a comprehensive race on Sunday, he’ll have a fantastic shot to fly up the NASCAR at Sonoma leaderboard.
Along with a massive shocker: Kevin Harvick, the Vegas favored at 7-2, makes a strong run but falls short of the name. There are far better values in a loaded 2019 NASCAR in Sonoma lineup.
Harvick won this event in 2017 and finished second to Truex last season, but he’s had a tough time getting all the way to the front despite being among the favorites in nearly every race this year. In fact, Harvick has never finished better than fourth place in a race all season and he has had three finishes outside the top 20 altogether. In his past two road races of last year at Watkins Glen and Charlotte, he hardly was able to crack the top 10, so there are lots of reasons to fade Harvick on Sunday.
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