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After back-to-back Team Penske wins, NASCAR heads to ISM Raceway’s one-mile horizontal track in Phoenix for the fourth race of the year.

Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano are riding streaks of eight top-12 finishes dating back to last year, but both motorists are going to take a backseat to the recent dominating performances of Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch at Phoenix.

Harvick (9/4) and Busch (7/2) have the shortest odds to win Sunday’s TicketGuardian 500 and both won at the track last season. This weekend, even when Harvick were to win, he’d join an elite group, becoming only the sixth driver in series history to win 10 or more Cup Series races at a single track; joining Richard Petty, Darrell Waltrip, Jimmie Johnson, David Pearson and Dale Earnhardt.

MORE: Chances

In three of those previous four Phoenix races, Busch has headed 359 laps, including 117 in his win during last year’s playoffs — the first under the new arrangement of the track.

Phoenix’s track is similar to Richmond and New Hampshire and it’s no surprise both Harvick and Busch have had similar success at those racks. Busch has won the fall race in New Hampshire of 2017 and the last two races at Richmond. Harvick won the most-recent race in New Hampshire and has finished in the top five in five of the previous six races at Richmond.

But unlike in those preceding races, all motorists will be using a new car installment executed by NASCAR, one different from that which we saw the previous two weeks in Atlanta and Las Vegas. This year teams may use a different-sized tapered spacer — and no ducts that are aero — for the very first time. They will use a engine in Phoenix rather than the engine in Vegas. NASCAR hopes to see a well-handling car. The package that is new could close the gap Busch and Harvick have had on the field.

So much in 2 races with the slightly differing rules bundle of NASCAR, Ford has led 65 percent of the laps and contains five stage wins. Ford motorist Aric Almirola, Harvick’s teammate, will be a sleeper motorist. He was third in New Hampshire’s similar design final season, fifth at Richmond and fourth in last year’s fall race in Phoenix. Almirola is 20/1 to win on Sunday and he is liked by us in a matchup with Kyle Larson at -110.

MORE: How to win at betting on NASCAR in 2019

Curious to win 2019 TicketGuardian 500 at Phoenix

Odds provided by Westgate LV SuperBook

Kevin HARVICK 9/4
Kyle BUSCH 7/2
Brad KESELOWSKI 7/1
Joey LOGANO 8/1
Martin TRUEX JR 10/1
Chase ELLIOTT 10/1
Denny HAMLIN 15/1
Kyle LARSON 20/1
Aric ALMIROLA 20/1
Clint BOWYER 25/1
Erik JONES 25/1
Kurt BUSCH 30/1
Ryan BLANEY 30/1
Jimmie JOHNSON 50/1
Austin DILLON 50/1
Alex BOWMAN 50/1
Ricky STENHOUSE JR 50/1
Daniel SUAREZ 60/1
Ryan NEWMAN 100/1
William BYRON 100/1
Daniel HEMRIC 100/1
Paul MENARD 100/1
Ryan PREECE 200/1
Chris BUESCHER 200/1
Matt DIBENEDETTO 200/1
Darrell WALLACE JR 500/1
Ty DILLON 1000/1
Michael McDOWELL 2000/1
David RAGAN 2000/1
FIELD (all others) 500/1

Read more here: http://sestricka.com/?p=88762

NASCAR at Phoenix betting odds, props, key stats to help bettors win TicketGuardian 500
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