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After back-to-back Team Penske wins, NASCAR heads to ISM Raceway’s one-mile horizontal trail in Phoenix for the fourth race of the year.

Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano are riding streaks of eight top-12 finishes dating back to last season, but both drivers will take a backseat to the recent dominating performances of Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch at Phoenix.

Harvick (9/4) and Busch (7/2) have the shortest odds to win Sunday’s TicketGuardian 500 and won at the course last season. This weekend, if Harvick were to win, he’d join an elite team, becoming only the sixth driver in series history to win 10 or even more Cup Series races at a single track; joining Richard Petty, Darrell Waltrip, Jimmie Johnson, David Pearson and Dale Earnhardt.

MORE: Chances

In three of the last four Phoenix races, Busch has led 359 laps, including 117 in his win during last year’s playoffs — the first under the new arrangement of the track.

Phoenix’s track is comparable to Richmond and New Hampshire and it is no surprise both Harvick and Busch have had similar success at those racks. Busch has won the last two races in Richmond and 2017’s fall race at New Hampshire. Harvick won the most-recent race in New Hampshire and has finished in the top five in five of the past six races at Richmond.

But unlike in these previous races, all drivers will use a new car setup implemented by NASCAR, one different from what we saw the last fourteen days at Atlanta and Las Vegas. This season teams may use a different-sized tapered spacer — and no ducts — for the very first time. They’ll use a 750-horsepower engine at Phoenix instead of their engine at Vegas. NASCAR hopes to see a car. The bundle that is new could close the gap Busch and Harvick have had on the area.

So far in two races with the slightly differing rules package of NASCAR, Ford has led 65 percent of the laps and contains five consecutive period wins. Harvick’s teammate, ford motorist Aric Almirola, will be a sleeper driver to watch this weekend. He was third in New Hampshire’s similar design final season, fifth at Richmond and fourth last season’s fall race in Phoenix. Almirola is 20/1 to win on Sunday and we like him .

MORE: How to win at betting on NASCAR in 2019

Curious to win 2019 TicketGuardian 500 in Phoenix

Odds Supplied by Westgate LV SuperBook

Kevin HARVICK 9/4
Kyle BUSCH 7/2
Joey LOGANO 8/1
Martin TRUEX JR 10/1
Chase ELLIOTT 10/1
Denny HAMLIN 15/1
Kyle LARSON 20/1
Aric ALMIROLA 20/1
Clint BOWYER 25/1
Erik JONES 25/1
Kurt BUSCH 30/1
Ryan BLANEY 30/1
Jimmie JOHNSON 50/1
Austin DILLON 50/1
Alex BOWMAN 50/1
Daniel SUAREZ 60/1
Ryan NEWMAN 100/1
William BYRON 100/1
Daniel HEMRIC 100/1
Paul MENARD 100/1
Ryan PREECE 200/1
Chris BUESCHER 200/1
Darrell WALLACE JR 500/1
Ty DILLON 1000/1
Michael McDOWELL 2000/1
David RAGAN 2000/1
FIELD (all others) 500/1

Read more here: http://sestricka.com/?p=88762

NASCAR at Phoenix betting odds, props, key stats to help bettors win TicketGuardian 500
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