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After back-to-back Team Penske wins, NASCAR heads to ISM Raceway’s one-mile flat trail in Phoenix for the fourth race of the year.

Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano are riding streaks of eight top-12 finishes dating back to last season, but both drivers will take a backseat to the recent dominating performances of Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch in Phoenix.

Harvick (9/4) and Busch (7/2) have the shortest odds to win Sunday’s TicketGuardian 500 and both won at the course last season. This weekend, when Harvick were to win, he would join an elite group, becoming just the sixth driver in series history to win 10 or even more Cup Series races in one track; joining Richard Petty, Darrell Waltrip, Jimmie Johnson, David Pearson and Dale Earnhardt.

MORE: Chances to win 2019 NASCAR Cup Series championship

In three of those last four Phoenix races, Busch has led 359 laps, including 117 in his win during last season’s playoffs — the first under the new arrangement of this track.

Phoenix’s track is comparable to Richmond and New Hampshire and it is no surprise both Harvick and Busch have experienced similar success at these racks. Busch has won the last two races in Richmond and the fall race in New Hampshire of 2017. Harvick won the most-recent race at New Hampshire and has finished in the top five in five of the previous six races at Richmond.

But unlike in these preceding races, all motorists will use a new automobile setup implemented by NASCAR, another from that which we saw the previous two weeks at Atlanta and Las Vegas. This year teams may use a spacer — and no ducts that are aero — for the first time. They’ll use a 750-horsepower engine in Phoenix rather than their 550-horsepower engine at Vegas. NASCAR hopes to see a well-handling car. The bundle that is new could close the gap Busch and Harvick have experienced on the field.

So much in 2 races with the marginally differing rules package of NASCAR, Ford has led 65 percent of the laps and has five stage wins. Ford motorist Aric Almirola, Harvick’s teammate, will be a sleeper driver to watch this weekend. He was third at New Hampshire’s similar layout final season, fifth at Richmond and fourth last season’s fall race at Phoenix. Almirola is 20/1 to win on Sunday and we enjoy him in a matchup with Kyle Larson at -110.

MORE: The way to win at betting on NASCAR in 2019

Curious to win 2019 TicketGuardian 500 in Phoenix

Odds provided by Westgate LV SuperBook

Kevin HARVICK 9/4
Kyle BUSCH 7/2
Brad KESELOWSKI 7/1
Joey LOGANO 8/1
Martin TRUEX JR 10/1
Chase ELLIOTT 10/1
Denny HAMLIN 15/1
Kyle LARSON 20/1
Aric ALMIROLA 20/1
Clint BOWYER 25/1
Erik JONES 25/1
Kurt BUSCH 30/1
Ryan BLANEY 30/1
Jimmie JOHNSON 50/1
Austin DILLON 50/1
Alex BOWMAN 50/1
Ricky STENHOUSE JR 50/1
Daniel SUAREZ 60/1
Ryan NEWMAN 100/1
William BYRON 100/1
Daniel HEMRIC 100/1
Paul MENARD 100/1
Ryan PREECE 200/1
Chris BUESCHER 200/1
Matt DIBENEDETTO 200/1
Darrell WALLACE JR 500/1
Ty DILLON 1000/1
Michael McDOWELL 2000/1
David RAGAN 2000/1
FIELD (others) 500/1

Read more here: http://sestricka.com/?p=88762

NASCAR at Phoenix betting odds, props, key stats to help bettors win TicketGuardian 500
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