The Coca-Cola 600 will get underway in 6 pm ET on Sunday on FOX, with Kyle Busch as the clear favorite (+250 betting odds).
Kevin Harvick (+600) and Martin Truex Jr. (+600) aren’t too far behind in what will be the greatest race of the year.
Nick Giffen uses his statistical model to disability that the four best futures values in the race.
For the second consecutive weekend, the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series will be racing in Charlotte Motor Speedwday (6:00 p.m. ET, FOX). However, this time rather than an All-Star shootout, motorists are in for a grueling 600 miles from the Cup Series‘ longest race of this year.
Charlotte is a 1.5-mile oblong with a relatively old surface which has been repaved back in 2006. We saw in the All-Star race that tires failed to make a difference and that track position was also extremely significant, therefore this race ought to offer a good blend of numerous 1.5-mile tracks.
The latest 1.5-mile points-paying race was also a night race in Kansas Speedwday. In that race, the top five in average green-flag rate all showed up at the top nine at 15-lap speed in Happy Hour, despite the race being at night and final practice during the day.
We’ve got a similar scenario at Charlotte this weekend, so I’ll surely rely on long-haul pace along with 1.5-mile performance this season and beyond Charlotte oval performance when handicapping the race.
Equipped with all these data points, let us get right into my four favorite bets to win tonight’s race, plus bonus top-five and top-10 props.
A fast primer on the chances under: A $100 bet at +375 odds would profit $375, while a $200 bet at -200 odds would pay out $100.
Kevin Harvick +600 to Acquire
Kyle Busch is the preferred thanks to his outstanding rate in Happy Hour and three wins to Harvick’s zero wins this season. However, it might be argued that Harvick should be a co-favorite despite completing only 13th on the 10-lap plank in final practice.
That is because in opening practice, he had been much better relative to the remainder of the field over 10 consecutive laps. His fifth-place time throughout the cooler temperatures is encouraging. In fact, Harvick’s Crew Chief Rodney Childers stated the cars are really sensitive to track changes, which they were really great in opening clinic during the warmer temperatures.
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