Can this get any simpler? Based on Bleacher Report’s specialist NFL analysts are currently faring this year, it certainly can’t get much harder.
Deciding at every game, Brad Gagnon, Gary Davenport and Brent Sobleski had another run in Week 12, falling their combined record to 251-259-18. Individually and as a team, here is the harm through 12 weeks (last week’s documents in parentheses):
1. Gary Davenport: 92-78-6 (7-8)
2. Brent Sobleski: 81-89-6 (7-8)
3. Brad Gagnon: 78-92-6 (5-10)
Consensus choices: 83-87-6 (7-8)
With December looming, we requested longtime sports betting advisor Dave Tuley when there might be some light at the end of the tube to the gambling public or when the sportsbooks will last to benefit from larger samples in the summer season.
Tuley gave us a hope, but not enough to get.
„There was a time less than a dozen years ago where I had a lot of years in a row where I simply killed it the second half of this year and in December,“ he said. „At the time, I felt like it was only the time of year once the good teams were being overrated and the terrible teams were being underrated, and with parity what it had been, the underdogs were doing a whole lot better at that moment.“
But Tuley notes that neither the books nor the bettors have struck advantages . „As much as bettors want to think that we’re getting smarter the more people see these teams play,“ he said,“clearly the oddsmakers are seeing the very same things we are, and they’re adjusting and making it hard also.“
But he believes it is possible to pick out lines which were exaggerated by midseason slumps. Specifically, he pointed at the 7.5-point distribute in favor of the New Orleans Saints at a road matchup with the NFC East-leading Dallas Cowboys on Thursday night.
With that lineup, oddsmakers are indicating the Saints will be preferred by as many as 13 or 14 points if this game were at New Orleans, which will seem high considering the Cowboys are riding a three-game winning streak.
„That’s [a reflection of] the way the Saints have been enjoying,“ Tuley said. „For the books to balance their action, they have to place it at the number.“
It’s something to remember as we enter the final month of the 2018 season. It may not save your season but if you’ve been following us any advice helps.
Here is what Gagnon Davenport and Sobleski are considering heading to the initial slate in more than two months.
Pro přidání komentáře musíte být přihlášeni.