This weekend, we have an 11-fight card in Greenville, South Carolina. DraftKings has some decent competitions for us to acquire a great deal of money from this week. The main GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of $120k being paid out. In addition they possess a Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they will compete for a $50k first place cost and that $175k will probably be distributed between all 100 entries that match. I will try to get my 3rd chair this week to max it if I can. Those Qualifier only competitions can be real bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those overly hard. I’ll probably stick to the top GPP this week and throw a small number of entries at that $30k prize, and then I will likely have a few shots in the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to receive a fantastic quantity of play into cash games.
With that said, let us get to a few plays I like this week Together with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of the week — Main Event STACK — Renato Moicano and Chan Sung Jung
For me, this is a simple pile in cash week. I think we readily have a floor of 100 using Renato Moicano and The Korean Zombie with upside of ~150. It also assures us the winner. As I have mentioned several times previously, we don’t need 6 wins in cash games, therefore play those type of games safer and all you have to do is beat half the field. Usually 4 wins or 400+ points is good enough to cash in most cash games. Even if you have a strong lean with this fight I recommend stacking.
GPP play of the week — Jairzinho Rozenstruik — $9,000
Rozenstruik gets the highest ITD lineup on the card at -140 and he could easily hit 100+ DK points from obtaining that in around 1. The worry here would be him on his back in around 1 and then scoring zero points through that and then going out and obtaining a KO in round 2. Or no KO in any way. Both of those would take him off the optimal lineup so we need this struggle to keep standing and ideally an early KO. I believe that’s extremely possible and he’ll be a core GPP drama of mine . He is not the greatest cash game play however because he could be put on his back and be stuck there and possibly even lose the battle like that. I’m OK with him in cash, but I won’t be making a priority like I will being overweight in GPPs.
Underdog play of this week — Anderson Dos Santos — $7,900
This betting line is about pickem‘ with a slight lean towards Dos Santos. But, Ewell is the favorite on DraftKings and is $400 more than ADS. Ewell is likewise the striker so that he to score tremendously he is going to need a finish. His weakness is Anderson Dos Santos‘ strength though. Ewell has a hard time staying off his spine and when ADS can place him there he could possibly submit him. He could rack up multiple takedowns for a high decision score. I like the value we are getting on him at $7.9k and that I like he should be seeking to grapple in this fight. That is why I had to select him as my puppy of this week.
Fade of the week — Syuri Kondo $8,000
There are no real simple fades this week. I do have a full fade on Kondo however because she seems to be purely a striker and I believe Ashely Yoder’s greatest path to victory is through grappling. If Kondo is not at a striking game for 15-minutes I really don’t see how she scores tremendously unless she receives a finish. I don’t believe she has KO power, so I think it is purely the substantial strikes and the triumph bonus that we would be relying here. I would rather take a fighter with a chance to complete or who’s more inclined to grapple. That is why Kondo is my fade of this week.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight on the card and provide my complete DraftKings analysis, as well as all of my pick predictions, you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are offered at that link as well. I am 81-51 to get +251.89u (+$25,189) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
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