This weekend, we’ve got an 11-fight card at Greenville, South Carolina. DraftKings has some decent contests for us to acquire a great deal of money from this week. The main GPP is a $15 buy and $25k belongs to 1st place with a total of $120k being paid out. In addition they possess a Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first place price and $175k will probably be distributed between all 100 entries that match. I will try to get my 3rd chair this week to max it if I could. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those overly hard. I will likely stick to the top GPP this week and then throw a small number of entries at that $30k decoration, then I will likely have a few shots at the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs through the week to get a good amount of play into cash games.
With that said, let’s get into a few plays I like this week along with my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — Main Event STACK — Renato Moicano and Chan Sung Jung
For me personally, this is an easy stack in money week. I think we readily have a floor of 100 with Renato Moicano and The Korean Zombie with upside of ~150. It also guarantees us the winner. As I have mentioned many times in the past, we do not need 6 wins in money games, therefore play with those kind of games safer and all you’ve got to do is beat half the area. Usually 4 wins or 400+ points is great enough to money in the majority of cash games. Even if you’ve got a solid lean on this fight I still recommend stacking.
GPP play of the week — Jairzinho Rozenstruik — $9,000
Rozenstruik gets the greatest ITD line on the card in -140 and he could easily hit 100+ DK points from obtaining that in around 1. The worry here will be him being on his back in around 1 and scoring zero points through that and then going out and getting a KO in round 2. Or no KO in any way. Both of those would take him away the optimal lineup so we need this fight to keep standing and ideally an early KO. I think that is extremely possible and he’ll be a core GPP play of mine . He isn’t the greatest money game play though because he could be put on his back and be stuck there and possibly even lose the fight like that. I am OK with him cash, but I will not be making a priority like I’m being overweight in GPPs.
Play of the week — Anderson Dos Santos — $7,900
This betting line is about pickem‘ with a small lean towards Dos Santos. However, Ewell is your favorite on DraftKings and is $400 greater than ADS. Ewell is likewise the striker so for him to score highly he is likely going to want a finish. His weakness is Anderson Dos Santos‘ strength though. Ewell has a hard time staying off his spine and if ADS can place him he could submit him. Or he could rack up numerous takedowns to get a high decision score. I enjoy the value we’re getting on him at $7.9k and that I like that he should be looking to grapple in this particular fight. That’s why I had to pick him as my dog of this week.
Fade of the week — Syuri Kondo $8,000
There aren’t any real simple fades this week. I really do have a complete fade on Kondo however because she looks to be purely a striker and I believe Ashely Yoder’s greatest path to success is by way of grappling. If Kondo is not in a striking match for 15-minutes I don’t see how she scores highly unless she receives a finish. I really don’t think she has KO power, so I think it is purely the significant strikes and the win bonus which we would be relying here. I would rather have a fighter with a chance to finish or who’s more likely to grapple. That is why Kondo is my fade of the week.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle on the card and give my full DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are available at that link as well. I’m 81-51 to get +251.89un (+$25,189) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
Read more: sharednewspaper.com
Pro přidání komentáře musíte být přihlášeni.