Trainer Todd Pletcher has won the Belmont Stakes (G3) three times in his career and will be sending out a set of dwell long shots in Saturday’s race.
Spinoff was an outsider at the Kentucky Derby (G1) and ran like you. The colt was never a threat in an 18th-place finish, beaten 18 spans for the top spot at chances of +5200.
Intrepid Heart won his first two starts and makes his Triple Crown debut following a third-place finish in the Peter Pan (G3) over the Belmont Park main track in his last outing.
Spinoff Fits Profile of Belmont Winners
Of the duo, Spinoff fits the Pletcher profile of Belmont Stakes winners.
Tapwrit won the 2017 Belmont Stakes for Pletcher after conducting sixth at the Kentucky Derby where he had been beaten 10??1/4 lengths. He skipped the Preakness and returned to dent the mild upset, the colt paying $12.40.
In 2012, Palace Malice was 12th in the Derby (beaten 13??1/2 lengths), skipped the Preakness and came back to win the Belmont Stakes for Pletcher, returning $29.60.
His other Belmont winner was Rags to Riches, who won the Kentucky Oaks (G1) in her previous outing, skipping the Black Eyed Susan (G2) on Preakness Day.
Spinoff did not do much running in the Kentucky Derby. He came into the race off a six-week break, which is just a little too much, running a strong second in the Louisiana Derby (G2) at Fair Grounds in his previous start.
He has a good pedigree to handle the distance, by Hard Spun out of the multiple graded stakes winner Zaftig ($408,700), that won the 2008 Nassau County (G3) and Acorn (G1) over the primary track at Belmont Park, then ran third in the Breeders‘ Cup Distaff (G1).
His running style in his previous starts is about ideal for this race, he also picks up Javier Castellano and will be a generous price. His present chances at Bovada are +1200.
Intrepid Heart most lightly raced contender
Intrepid Heart, who is +800, has just the 3 starts under his belt and will be the most lightly raced contender in the race. The colt has a wonderful pedigree. He is by the sire Tapit, who has accounted for three Belmont winners in the past five decades.
His regular rider is Hall of Famer John Velazquez, who has won the Belmont Stakes twice, most recently with Union Rags at 2012.
Preakness winner War of Will (+225) and Kentucky Derby third-place finisher Tacitus (+200) are garnering the majority of the attention in the gambling, meaning both Pletcher’s runners may be well worth a good look at ample opportunities.
Handicapper Michael Dempsey will soon be covering the Triple Crown for Odds Shark and his entire card reports with selections, evaluation, fair odds line and wagering recommendations for important tracks are available daily at turfnsport.com.